Comments on: Brad Allenby on "Nightmare Science" http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 22:36:51 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Steve Hemphill http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3868 Steve Hemphill Wed, 12 Apr 2006 00:55:40 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3868 John F, Sorry, I don't have to sign on with anybody - particularly Tim Lambert. He sounds to me like a typical dupe of the Oil for Food guys. Disproving a part of a statement doesn't disprove it all. I think Bob has some good points. I'm sure Lambert does too, but there's too much chaff to look through to find it. Quite a bit of truth by Roger here: http://tinyurl.com/s5kdq Including jackals supporting the "consensus" by nipping at heels and quoting a lot of trivia that doesn't fit a coherent picture. John F,

Sorry, I don’t have to sign on with anybody – particularly Tim Lambert. He sounds to me like a typical dupe of the Oil for Food guys. Disproving a part of a statement doesn’t disprove it all. I think Bob has some good points. I’m sure Lambert does too, but there’s too much chaff to look through to find it. Quite a bit of truth by Roger here:
http://tinyurl.com/s5kdq

Including jackals supporting the “consensus” by nipping at heels and quoting a lot of trivia that doesn’t fit a coherent picture.

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By: john frankis http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3867 john frankis Tue, 11 Apr 2006 21:29:58 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3867 Benny your fulsome ranting about papers that you've never read is transparent and I assume fools exactly nobody unfortunate enough to have followed your fantasies in this thread this far. Benny - have (m)any of your nearest and dearest observed out loud in your vicinity that a side-effect of contemporary anti-depressants can be a blissful lack of concern with ordinary risks and dangers of life, a degree of disconnection from reality? Google for an abstract or two then cherrypick the ones that tell you what you prefer to hear. Benny your fulsome ranting about papers that you’ve never read is transparent and I assume fools exactly nobody unfortunate enough to have followed your fantasies in this thread this far.

Benny – have (m)any of your nearest and dearest observed out loud in your vicinity that a side-effect of contemporary anti-depressants can be a blissful lack of concern with ordinary risks and dangers of life, a degree of disconnection from reality? Google for an abstract or two then cherrypick the ones that tell you what you prefer to hear.

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By: Dano http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3866 Dano Tue, 11 Apr 2006 17:34:05 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3866 Shorter Benny: OK, that paper didn't work out, how 'bout this one? Best, D Shorter Benny:

OK, that paper didn’t work out, how ’bout this one?

Best,

D

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By: Benny Peiser http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3865 Benny Peiser Tue, 11 Apr 2006 16:38:43 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3865 John Run out of arguments? Here are some more to help you calm down: "Our analysis suggests that annual average coral reef calcification rate will increase with future ocean warming and eventually exceed pre-industrial rates by about 35% by 2100. Our results suggest that present coral reef calcification rates are equivalent to levels in the late 19th century and does not support previous suggestions of large and potentially catastrophic decreases in the future. Ben I. McNeil, Richard J. Matear, and David J. Barnes: Coral reef calcification and climate change: The effect of ocean warming. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L22309, doi:10.1029/2004GL021541, 2004 http://web.maths.unsw.edu.au/~bmcneil/McNeil_et_al,2004.pdf John

Run out of arguments? Here are some more to help you calm down: “Our analysis suggests that annual average coral reef calcification rate will increase with future ocean warming and eventually exceed pre-industrial rates by about 35% by 2100. Our results suggest that present coral reef calcification rates are equivalent to levels in the late 19th century and does not support previous suggestions of large and potentially
catastrophic decreases in the future.

Ben I. McNeil, Richard J. Matear, and David J. Barnes: Coral reef calcification and climate change: The effect of ocean warming. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L22309, doi:10.1029/2004GL021541, 2004
http://web.maths.unsw.edu.au/~bmcneil/McNeil_et_al,2004.pdf

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By: john frankis http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3864 john frankis Tue, 11 Apr 2006 09:53:01 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3864 The More Concise Benny: "No of course I haven't read let alone understood the paper that I'm blathering about". The More Concise Benny: “No of course I haven’t read let alone understood the paper that I’m blathering about”.

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By: Benny Peiser http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3863 Benny Peiser Tue, 11 Apr 2006 08:43:33 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3863 Let's not beat around the bush. The paper makes pretty clear that John's doomsday fears about the world's coral reefs becoming extinct during his lifetime are simply unjustified. The probability of this horror scenario is essentially zero. If you want to see what happens to people who grossly exaggerate the potential risk for coral reefs, read this http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/001306.html And remember: People who cry wolf too often won't be trusted in the long run. Let’s not beat around the bush. The paper makes pretty clear that John’s doomsday fears about the world’s coral reefs becoming extinct during his lifetime are simply unjustified. The probability of this horror scenario is essentially zero. If you want to see what happens to people who grossly exaggerate the potential risk for coral reefs, read this
http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/001306.html

And remember: People who cry wolf too often won’t be trusted in the long run.

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By: john frankis http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3862 john frankis Mon, 10 Apr 2006 22:43:47 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3862 Steve, Bob Carter is a _geologist_ who just talks too much. I prefer Tim Lambert's response to his latest self-promotion (that you've linked to), found at http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2006/04/a_picture_is_worth_a_thousand.php First Carter gets caught redhanded either cherrypicking data or making a dumb "point" (Tim is able to quote Carter's own words to prove him a fool at best, more likely mendacious). Then just consider for a moment Carter's language: "global warming devotee" ... "tosh" ... "many thousands of independent scientists" ... "bandwagon" ... "gravy train of the IPCC" ... "alarmist letters and articles on hypothetical, human-caused climate change" ... "larded with words such as" ... "ignorance of scientific facts and principles" ... That dumpster of emotive bumf comes just from _two_ paragraphs by Carter, a geologist, trumpeting loudly on subjects that are well outside his area of understanding (I think of the various subdisciplines of climatology that require comprehension and capacity in the hard sciences that he does not have). You get to choose whether to sign on, with Benny, to the braying delusions of competence of this style of "skeptic", or not. Steve, Bob Carter is a _geologist_ who just talks too much. I prefer Tim Lambert’s response to his latest self-promotion (that you’ve linked to), found at http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2006/04/a_picture_is_worth_a_thousand.php

First Carter gets caught redhanded either cherrypicking data or making a dumb “point” (Tim is able to quote Carter’s own words to prove him a fool at best, more likely mendacious). Then just consider for a moment Carter’s language: “global warming devotee” … “tosh” … “many thousands of independent scientists” … “bandwagon” … “gravy train of the IPCC” … “alarmist letters and articles on hypothetical, human-caused climate change” … “larded with words such as” … “ignorance of scientific facts and principles” …

That dumpster of emotive bumf comes just from _two_ paragraphs by Carter, a geologist, trumpeting loudly on subjects that are well outside his area of understanding (I think of the various subdisciplines of climatology that require comprehension and capacity in the hard sciences that he does not have). You get to choose whether to sign on, with Benny, to the braying delusions of competence of this style of “skeptic”, or not.

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By: john frankis http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3861 john frankis Mon, 10 Apr 2006 21:48:55 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3861 Have you read the paper Benny - yes or no? Have you read the paper Benny – yes or no?

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By: Dano http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3860 Dano Mon, 10 Apr 2006 20:50:56 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3860 Benben FUD Phrase count: FUD phrases: 1. silver linings 2. reassuring research findings 3. the doom-and-gloom brigade 4. glumness, negativity or apocalyptic trepidation 5. the empirical data...generally thought. Words in comment: 55 Words/FUD phrase: 11 % of comment in FUD phrase: 61.818% Historical Benny Peiser average: 17% Uh...ahem. Please excuse all the statistics. It's baseball season & I wax poetic... What john frankis said: Benny likes Google Scholar but doesn't read the journals themselves, as we found out in the Oreskes debacle. Certainly he may have read this *Front. Ecol. Environ.* paper he linked to, but I highly doubt he understands it, as it doesn't support his tout (huh). BTW (aside): I like how this natural sciences journal uses a sum-up box like the medical journals do. It allows us to look at the 'nutshell' right away and see that it disagrees with Benny's tout/wish. Anyway, open-mindedness is not the requisite to use this paper to make such a tout/wish, but simple-mindedness may be. The question is: wilfull or näive misleader? Best, D Benben FUD Phrase count:

FUD phrases:

1. silver linings
2. reassuring research findings
3. the doom-and-gloom brigade
4. glumness, negativity or apocalyptic trepidation
5. the empirical data…generally thought.

Words in comment: 55

Words/FUD phrase: 11

% of comment in FUD phrase: 61.818%

Historical Benny Peiser average: 17%

Uh…ahem.

Please excuse all the statistics. It’s baseball season & I wax poetic…

What john frankis said: Benny likes Google Scholar but doesn’t read the journals themselves, as we found out in the Oreskes debacle.

Certainly he may have read this *Front. Ecol. Environ.* paper he linked to, but I highly doubt he understands it, as it doesn’t support his tout (huh).

BTW (aside): I like how this natural sciences journal uses a sum-up box like the medical journals do. It allows us to look at the ‘nutshell’ right away and see that it disagrees with Benny’s tout/wish.

Anyway, open-mindedness is not the requisite to use this paper to make such a tout/wish, but simple-mindedness may be.

The question is: wilfull or näive misleader?

Best,

D

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By: Steve Hemphill http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=3781&cpage=2#comment-3859 Steve Hemphill Mon, 10 Apr 2006 18:07:56 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=3781#comment-3859 Speaking of Bob Carter, here's an interesting elucidation: http://tinyurl.com/sxkue P.S. "Benben"??? Somebody left the computer too close to the crib again... Speaking of Bob Carter, here’s an interesting elucidation:

http://tinyurl.com/sxkue

P.S. “Benben”??? Somebody left the computer too close to the crib again…

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