Archive for March, 2007

Response to Nature Commentary: Insiders and Outsiders

March 30th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

Three leaders in the adaptation community submitted a letter to Nature responding to our commentary published last month (here in PDF). Nature won’t be publishing their letter, but we are happy to reproduce it here. Below is the letter and our response to it, followed by a bit more commentary from me.

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Interview at ClimateandInsurance.Org

March 30th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

I am interviewed by the website ClimateandInsurance.org, check it out here.

Now I’ve Seen Everything

March 29th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

NASA’s Jim Hansen has discovered STS (science and technology studies, i.e., social scientists who study science), and he is using it to justify why the IPCC is wrong and he, and he alone, is correct on predictions of future sea level rise and as well on calls for certain political actions, like campaign finance reform.

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Cashing In

March 29th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

At least one IPCC lead author appears to be trying to cash in on concern over climate change. With the help of several University of Arizona faculty members, including one prominent IPCC contributor, a company called Climate Appraisal, LLC is selling address specific climate predictions looking out as far as the next 100 years. Call me a skeptic or a cynic but I’m pretty sure that the science of climate change hasn’t advanced to the point of providing such place-specific information. In fact, I’d go so far as to suggest that if such information were credible and available, it’d already be in the IPCC. The path from global consensus to snake oil seems pretty short. I wouldn’t deny anyone the chance to make a buck, but can this be good for the credibility of the IPCC?

if you want an example of selling science…

March 28th, 2007

Posted by: admin

…see this post by Eric Berger. Eric details AccuWeather’s chief hurricane forecaster making … well, you can see for yourself what he’s doing. Real solid work.

Why is Climate Change a Partisan Issue in the United States?

March 28th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

Several people asked me to comment on this Jonathan Chait essay from the L.A. Times last week in which he sought to explain the partisan nature of the climate issue. While I think there are some elements of truth in Chait’s perspective, I think that he misses the elephant in the room.

Climate change is indeed a partisan issue. This is confirmed time and again by opinion polls, most recently this poll released last week.

Chait seeks to explain this partisanship as follows:

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So Long as We Are Discussing Congressional Myopia . . .

March 28th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

I had a chance to meet Congressman Wayne Gilchrest (R-MD) last year at an informal dinner at the home of Thomas Lovejoy, head of the H. John Heinz III Center for Science, Economics and the Environment. In my conversations with Mr. Gilchrest I found him to be extremely thoughtful and exactly the sort of person that anyone would welcome representing them in Congress, Republican or Democrat. My views were reinforced when I saw Mr. Gilchrest sitting with Congressional committees looking into global warming even though he wasn’t on those committees but was attending simply to educate himself, one time when I was testifying.

So it was with some surprise that I read the following about Mr. Gilchrest in a news story last week:

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Pay No Attention to Those Earmarks

March 27th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

According to a column in the Wall Street Journal Congress, in its wisdom, has decided to prohibit the ability of its Congressional Research Service (CRS) to publish reports documenting congressional earmarks, or targeted spending inserted in appropriations bills (aka “pork-barrel spending”). This is a bad decision.

The thinking in Congress must be that if they don’t report the existence of earmarks then no one will know what is going on. As has been documented time and again here we see an effort to shape political outcomes by manipulating the availability of information. In this case the incentives are not partisan, but institutional, as members of both political parties in Congress have a shared incentive to keep earmarks out of the public eye. Earmarks are often associated with irresponsible public spending (e.g., the Alaska “bridge to nowhere”) and are especially problematic in the R&D enterprise, as I’ve discussed here previously.

Congress is doing the public a disservice by seeking to aggressively limit information on spending that it makes available to the public. This behavior is likely to be counterproductive when at the same time several Congress committees are conducting useful investigations of the Executive branch’s heavy-handed information management strategies. In general, openness and transparency are good principles, and that is the case here as well.

Here is an excerpt from the WSJ column:

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Unpublished Letter to the San Francisco Chronicle

March 27th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

A few weeks ago Henry Miller had an op-ed in the San Francisco Chronicle that discussed our recent commentary in Nature on adaptation (PDF). We sent in a letter in response that for whatever reason the Chronicle decided not to publish. So we have reproduced it here:

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Whose political agenda is reflected in the IPCC Working Group 1, Scientists or Politicians?

March 26th, 2007

Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.

Recent discussion here on Prometheus and elsewhere has indicated two very different perspectives on who controls the IPCC’s Working Group I on the science of climate change. The different views reflect various efforts to legitimize and delegitimize the IPCC. However, the different perspectives cannot be reconciled for reasons I describe below, placing scientists in an interesting double bind.

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