http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4480 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 22:36:51 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4480&cpage=1#comment-10493 Roger Pielke, Jr. Tue, 15 Jul 2008 14:35:52 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/replications-of-our-normalized-hurricane-damage-work-4480#comment-10493 Thanks for the link Goks! Thanks for the link Goks!

]]> http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4480&cpage=1#comment-10492 Indur Goklany Tue, 15 Jul 2008 01:27:31 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/replications-of-our-normalized-hurricane-damage-work-4480#comment-10492 FWIW, your findings were also essentially confirmed in an analysis I reported in “Potential Consequences of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Compared to Other Environmental Problems.” Technology 7S: 189-213 (2000) [available at http://members.cox.net/imgrant/Goklany%202000%20Technology.pdf ]. That analysis, less sophisticated than yours, indicated upward trends when property losses for 1900-1997 were measured in real dollars, but there was no trend when they were measured in terms of nation’s cumulative fixed tangible reproducible assets (a surrogate for national wealth) (for 1926-1997). A similar analysis for 1929-2004 for the book, "The Improving State of the World: Why We're Living Longer, Healthier, More Comfortable Lives on a Cleaner Planet" (Cato Institute, Washington, DC, 2007) once again showed no upward trend when losses were measured as a fraction of wealth. But in the latter case, I used state personal income as a surrogate for state wealth. Also I aggregated losses over non-overlapping periods for the analysis to calculate losses per year. I am not now convinced this was the best approach, however. FWIW, your findings were also essentially confirmed in an analysis I reported in “Potential Consequences of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Compared to Other Environmental Problems.” Technology 7S: 189-213 (2000) [available at http://members.cox.net/imgrant/Goklany%202000%20Technology.pdf ]. That analysis, less sophisticated than yours, indicated upward trends when property losses for 1900-1997 were measured in real dollars, but there was no trend when they were measured in terms of nation’s cumulative fixed tangible reproducible assets (a surrogate for national wealth) (for 1926-1997). A similar analysis for 1929-2004 for the book, “The Improving State of the World: Why We’re Living Longer, Healthier, More Comfortable Lives on a Cleaner Planet” (Cato Institute, Washington, DC, 2007) once again showed no upward trend when losses were measured as a fraction of wealth. But in the latter case, I used state personal income as a surrogate for state wealth. Also I aggregated losses over non-overlapping periods for the analysis to calculate losses per year. I am not now convinced this was the best approach, however.

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