Comments on: UKMET Short Term Global Temperature Forecast http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4316 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 22:36:51 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Harry Haymuss http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4316&cpage=1#comment-9363 Harry Haymuss Sat, 19 Jan 2008 09:33:02 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4316#comment-9363 John Reynolds has some good points. An El Niño year and below the line... only the 8th warmest year despite forcing from "equilbrium" at an all time high? Basically flat lined temps this century, based on the only objective metrics we have? Something's rotten in Denmark about this "global warming" emergency... John Reynolds has some good points. An El Niño year and below the line… only the 8th warmest year despite forcing from “equilbrium” at an all time high? Basically flat lined temps this century, based on the only objective metrics we have? Something’s rotten in Denmark about this “global warming” emergency…

]]> By: jmrsudbury http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4316&cpage=1#comment-9362 jmrsudbury Wed, 16 Jan 2008 07:17:21 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4316#comment-9362 Since they are willing to correct and re-run their forecasts due to a volcanic eruption, why not at other times? I noticed that 1998 temps were well above their prediction. This was due to a strong el nino. Similarly, 2000 temps were below the line for the la nina period. Early to mid 2007 was affected by el nino which means the temps should have been above the white prediction line. That the prediction line was 0.1 C above instead of below the observed temp line is a large difference. Has anyone heard of UK MET lowering their forecast line? I know the graph was created in 2007 using only 2004 data, but will they make a new forecast now that 2007 is only 8th warmest and was an el nino year? John M Reynolds Since they are willing to correct and re-run their forecasts due to a volcanic eruption, why not at other times? I noticed that 1998 temps were well above their prediction. This was due to a strong el nino. Similarly, 2000 temps were below the line for the la nina period. Early to mid 2007 was affected by el nino which means the temps should have been above the white prediction line. That the prediction line was 0.1 C above instead of below the observed temp line is a large difference. Has anyone heard of UK MET lowering their forecast line? I know the graph was created in 2007 using only 2004 data, but will they make a new forecast now that 2007 is only 8th warmest and was an el nino year?

John M Reynolds

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