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PUBLICATIONID : 16413
PUBLICATIONTYPE : 10
TYPE : Editorial Material
TITLE : Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative
ORIG_TITLE : Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative
AUTHOR : Clark, JS, SR Carpenter, M Barber, S Collins, A Dobson, JA Foley, DM Lodge, M Pascual, R Pielke, W Pizer, C Pringle, WV Reid, KA Rose, O Sala, WH Schlesinger, DH Wall and D Wear
FIRST_AUTHOR : Clark, JS, SR Carpenter, M Barber, S Collins, A Dobson, JA Foley, DM Lodge, M Pascual,
AUTHOR_COUNT : 1
ADDRESS : Duke Univ, Dept Biol, Durham, NC 27708 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Ecol Soc Amer, Washington, DC 20006 USA; Kansas State Univ, Div Biol, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA; Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolut Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Sustainabil & Global Environm, Madison, WI 53706 USA; Univ Notre Dame, Dept Biol Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA; Univ Michigan, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Environm & Societal Impacts Grp, Boulder, CO 80301 USA; Resources Future Inc, Washington, DC 20036 USA; Univ Georgia, Dept Ecol, Athens, GA 30602 USA; Millennium Ecosyst Assessment, Seattle, WA 98103 USA; Louisiana State Univ, Dept Oceanog & Coastal Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; Univ Buenos Aires, CONICET, Fac Agron, IFEVA,Dept Ecol, RA-1417 Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina; Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Enviornm & Earth Sci, Durham, NC 27708 USA; Colorado State Univ, Nat Resource Ecol Lab, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; US Forest Serv, USDA, Res Triangle Pk, NC 27709 USA
PUBLISHER : AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
FIRSTAUTHOREMPLOYER : 3
ABBREV_JOURNAL : Science
BEGINPAGE : 657
ENDPAGE : 660
VOLUME : 293
ISSUE : 5530
PUBLISH_DATE : 27-Jul
YEAR : 2001
URL : http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/2001.01.pdf
RESOURCE : WOS:000170204600045
CITATION : 297
DEPT : CSTPR
LAST_UPDATED : 2017-08-10 21:54:36
ISSN : 0036-8075
IDS : 458PW
DOI : 10.1126/science.293.5530.657
ABSTRACT : Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.
KEYWORD_PLUS : AGRICULTURE; ECOSYSTEM; DYNAMICS; MALARIA; MODELS; CARBON
AREA : Science & Technology - Other Topics
PUBLICATION : SCIENCE
PLACE : WASHINGTON
LANGUAGE : English
SERIAL : 16413
PAGES : 657-660
APPROVED : yes
SERIES_VOLUME_NUMERIC : 1
ONLINE_PUBLICATION : no
VERSION : 1
FIRST_AUTHOR_ADDRESS : Clark, JS (reprint author), Duke Univ, Dept Biol, Durham, NC 27708 USA
AUTHOR_OTHER_FORM : Clark, JS; Carpenter, SR; Barber, M; Collins, S; Dobson, A; Foley, JA; Lodge, DM; Pascual, M; Pielke, R; Pizer, W; Pringle, C; Reid, WV; Rose, KA; Sala, O; Schlesinger, WH; Wall, DH; Wear, D
REFERENCES_NUM : 45
PUBLISHER_ADDRESS : 1200 NEW YORK AVE, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20005 USA
COUNT : 1
VETTED : 1