
|
CSTPR Publications >
Publication Detail
| PUBLICATIONID : | 45881 | | PUBLICATIONTYPE : | 1 | | TYPE : | Article | | TITLE : | Mamizu climate policy: an evaluation of Japanese carbon emissions reduction targets | | ORIG_TITLE : | Mamizu climate policy: an evaluation of Japanese carbon emissions reduction targets | | AUTHOR : | Pielke, RA | | FIRST_AUTHOR : | Pielke, RA | | AUTHOR_COUNT : | 1 | | ADDRESS : | Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA | | PUBLISHER : | IOP PUBLISHING LTD | | FIRSTAUTHOREMPLOYER : | 1 | | ABBREV_JOURNAL : | Environ. Res. Lett. | | ART_NO : | 44001 | | VOLUME : | 4 | | ISSUE : | 4 | | PUBLISH_DATE : | OCT-DEC | | YEAR : | 2009 | | URL : | http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/resource-2736-2009.23.pdf | | REFEREED : | 1 | | RESOURCE : | WOS:000272900500003 | | CITATION : | 2 | | DEPT : | CSTPR | | LAST_UPDATED : | 2012-10-11 11:38:32 | | ISSN : | 1748-9326 | | IDS : | 534ME | | DOI : | 10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/044001 | | ABSTRACT : | This letter evaluates Japan's so-called 'Mamizu' climate policies proposed in mid-2009 in terms of the implied rates of decarbonization of the Japanese economy for short-term and long-term targets. The letter uses the Kaya identity to structure the evaluation, employing both a bottom up approach (based on projections of future Japanese population, economic growth, and technology) and a top down approach (deriving implied rates of decarbonization consistent with the targets and various rates of economic growth). Both approaches indicate that the Japanese economy would have to achieve rates of decarbonization of 2.6% to meet a 2020 target of reducing emissions by 15% below 2005 levels, and 5.0% to meet a 2050 target of an 80% reduction below 2005 levels. A target of 25% below 1990 emissions proposed by the opposition party (which subsequently formed a government following elections in August 2009) implies a rate of decarbonization of 4.6% annually to 2020. The letter argues that international criticism of Japanese Mamizu climate policy proposals as being too weak was unfounded, and if anything, the proposals may have been too ambitious. In either case, climate policy would be strengthened through the support of a diversity of approaches to decarbonization. | | KEYWORDS : | climate policy; decarbonization; Japan; policy evaluation | | AREA : | Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences | | FIRST_AUTHOR_EMAIL : | pielke@colorado.edu | | PUBLICATION : | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS | | PLACE : | BRISTOL | | LANGUAGE : | English | | SERIAL : | 45881 | | ONLINE_PUBLICATION : | no | | VERSION : | 1 | | FIRST_AUTHOR_ADDRESS : | Pielke, RA (reprint author), Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy Res, 1333 Grandview Ave,UCB 488, Boulder, CO 80309 USA | | AUTHOR_OTHER_FORM : | Pielke, Roger A., Jr. | | REFERENCES_NUM : | 13 | | REFERENCE : | Akimoto K, 2008, CLIM POLICY, V8, pS46, DOI 10.3763/cpol.2007.0492; Baksi S, 2007, ENERG POLICY, V35, P6457, DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2007.08.018; Geller H, 2006, ENERG POLICY, V34, P556, DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2005.11.010; JUN A, 2009, COMMUNICATION 0713, P44008; KANTER J, 2009, TSUNAMI CRITICISM JA, P44008; MAEDA R, 2009, REUTERS 0624, P44008; Oda J, 2007, IEEJ T ELECTR ELECTR, V2, P72, DOI 10.1002/tee.20100; Pielke RA, 2009, ENVIRON RES LETT, V4, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/4/2/024010; SAWA A, 2008, 200823 HARV PROJ INT, P44008; SMIL V, 2007, ASIA PACIFIC J J APR, P44008; Waggoner PE, 2002, P NATL ACAD SCI USA, V99, P7860, DOI 10.1073/pnas.122235999; *UN, 2009, WORLD POP PROSP 2008, P44008; 2009, FINANCIAL TIMES 0610, P44008 | | PUBLISHER_ADDRESS : | DIRAC HOUSE, TEMPLE BACK, BRISTOL BS1 6BE, ENGLAND | | COUNT : | 1 |
|