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PUBLICATIONID : 9377
PUBLICATIONTYPE : 1
TYPE : Review
TITLE : Abrupt climate change
ORIG_TITLE : Abrupt climate change
AUTHOR : Alley, RB, J Marotzke, WD Nordhaus, JT Overpeck, DM Peteet, RA Pielke, RT Pierrehumbert, PB Rhines, TF Stocker, LD Talley and JM Wallace
FIRST_AUTHOR : Alley, RB, J Marotzke, WD Nordhaus, JT Overpeck, DM Peteet, RA Pielke, RT Pierrehumbert,
AUTHOR_COUNT : 1
ADDRESS : Penn State Univ, Dept Geosci, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; Penn State Univ, EMS Environm Inst, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; Univ Southampton, Southampton Oceanog Ctr, Southampton SO14 3ZH, Hants, England; Yale Univ, Dept Econ, New Haven, CT 06520 USA; Univ Arizona, Inst Study Planet Earth, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA; Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA; NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy Res, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; Univ Chicago, Dept Geophys Sci, Chicago, IL 60637 USA; Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; Univ Washington, Dept Oceanog, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; Univ Bern, Inst Phys, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland; Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
PUBLISHER : AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
FIRSTAUTHOREMPLOYER : 3
ABBREV_JOURNAL : Science
BEGINPAGE : 2005
ENDPAGE : 2010
VOLUME : 299
ISSUE : 5615
PUBLISH_DATE : 28-Mar
YEAR : 2003
URL : http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/2003.13.pdf
REFEREED : 1
RESOURCE : WOS:000181834200034
CITATION : 544
DEPT : CSTPR
LAST_UPDATED : 2017-02-21 11:51:46
ISSN : 0036-8075
IDS : 660LG
DOI : 10.1126/science.1081056
ABSTRACT : Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.
KEYWORD_PLUS : THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION; NORTH-ATLANTIC; OCEAN; VARIABILITY; HOLOCENE; EVENT; STABILIZATION; CIVILIZATION; TEMPERATURE; SIMULATION
AREA : Science & Technology - Other Topics
PUBLICATION : SCIENCE
PLACE : WASHINGTON
LANGUAGE : English
SERIAL : 9377
PAGES : 2005-2010
APPROVED : yes
SERIES_VOLUME_NUMERIC : 1
ONLINE_PUBLICATION : no
VERSION : 1
FIRST_AUTHOR_ADDRESS : Alley, RB (reprint author), Penn State Univ, Dept Geosci, University Pk, PA 16802 USA.
AUTHOR_OTHER_FORM : Alley, RB; Marotzke, J; Nordhaus, WD; Overpeck, JT; Peteet, DM; Pielke, RA; Pierrehumbert, RT; Rhines, PB; Stocker, TF; Talley, LD; Wallace, JM
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PUBLISHER_ADDRESS : 1200 NEW YORK AVE, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20005 USA
COUNT : 1
PUBMED_ID : 12663908
RESEARCHID : Stocker, Thomas/B-1273-2013