Comments on: So Much for Peak Oil, Plug-In Hybrids, and Reliance on Foreign Dictators http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 22:36:51 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: lucia http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9530 lucia Sat, 23 Feb 2008 20:32:52 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9530 Hi David, Using breeder reactors, which are technically feasible, the nuclear uranium ores would last roughly more than 5 centuries. So, the technology described here, which removes existing CO2 from air to make synthetic fuel is not uranium limited. That's clear. Yes. To implement this technology will require an investment in new reactor technolgies. But, new technologies are developed all the time. New reactors can be designed and built. I realize this causes you angst but that is no reason not to build them. It's clear you don't want these to be built for However, with regard to the topic of Roger's blog -- which is how we might implement the synthetic fule technology-- the discussion appears to have gotten us here: If we invest in new, entirely feasible nuclear technologies, there is plenty of uranium available to generate synthetic fuel using the emerging technology Roger discussed. This could potentially greatly not only reduce the amount of CO2 introduced into the atmosphere, but remove CO2 we have already reduced. This could potentially eliminate the hazards of global warming. Unless good reasons not to implement this technologies can be advanced, the synthetic fuel technology would seem promising. We should invest both in the new technology to develop synthetic fuels and develop better technologies to use nuclear fuels. Hi David,

Using breeder reactors, which are technically feasible, the nuclear uranium ores would last roughly more than 5 centuries. So, the technology described here, which removes existing CO2 from air to make synthetic fuel is not uranium limited. That’s clear.

Yes. To implement this technology will require an investment in new reactor technolgies. But, new technologies are developed all the time. New reactors can be designed and built. I realize this causes you angst but that is no reason not to build them.

It’s clear you don’t want these to be built for

However, with regard to the topic of Roger’s blog — which is how we might implement the synthetic fule technology– the discussion appears to have gotten us here:

If we invest in new, entirely feasible nuclear technologies, there is plenty of uranium available to generate synthetic fuel using the emerging technology Roger discussed.

This could potentially greatly not only reduce the amount of CO2 introduced into the atmosphere, but remove CO2 we have already reduced. This could potentially eliminate the hazards of global warming.

Unless good reasons not to implement this technologies can be advanced, the synthetic fuel technology would seem promising. We should invest both in the new technology to develop synthetic fuels and develop better technologies to use nuclear fuels.

]]>
By: David B. Benson http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9529 David B. Benson Sat, 23 Feb 2008 12:57:08 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9529 lucia --- Using existing nuclear reactor technology, 700 nuclear power generators woudl use up the urnaium ores available at today's prices in 24 years. Multiplying that low figure by 100 or so requires a different technology, one with which there is no longer any experience, anywhere in the world, now that FFTF has been demolished. This is not the place to consider all the ramifications of a variety of different possible ways of using nuclear energy, most of which have never been tried. There are other forums for that. Goodby on this topic. lucia — Using existing nuclear reactor technology, 700 nuclear power generators woudl use up the urnaium ores available at today’s prices in 24 years.

Multiplying that low figure by 100 or so requires a different technology, one with which there is no longer any experience, anywhere in the world, now that FFTF has been demolished.

This is not the place to consider all the ramifications of a variety of different possible ways of using nuclear energy, most of which have never been tried. There are other forums for that.

Goodby on this topic.

]]>
By: lucia http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9528 lucia Sat, 23 Feb 2008 12:06:03 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9528 David Benson, Once again you are suggesting there is not enough uranium. 2500 years wort is certainly enough, particularly in the context of an emerging technology described in Roger's article. How in the world is the issue of nuclear plants coming on line in the next few month's relevant to the emerging technology described here, which isn't likely to be ramped up in two months? (Answer: It's not.) And why should readers think the technology Roger describes is not useful because you make vague allusions about things you think you know but for some reason don't specify in comments? David Benson,
Once again you are suggesting there is not enough uranium. 2500 years wort is certainly enough, particularly in the context of an emerging technology described in Roger’s article.

How in the world is the issue of nuclear plants coming on line in the next few month’s relevant to the emerging technology described here, which isn’t likely to be ramped up in two months? (Answer: It’s not.)

And why should readers think the technology Roger describes is not useful because you make vague allusions about things you think you know but for some reason don’t specify in comments?

]]>
By: David B. Benson http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9527 David B. Benson Sat, 23 Feb 2008 11:03:08 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9527 lucia --- I was thinking of INEEL, in Idaho. Rocky Flats is too many states away and too far south for me to worry about. INEEL tests reactor designs, using DOE money. These are supposedly for commericial reactors. I personally do not object to a newer design. If nuclear reactors must be used, I would think one of the so-called passively safe designs would be better. (Same problem of fuel shortage, however). My point was that the two or three new constrction nuclear power plants to come before the nucular regulatory commission in the next several months are not innovative designs. Hanford, for many years, ran an electric power generating reactor onsite. I'm unsure of the current situation. It is not just the former secretaries. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, in an article a few years ago, stated that DOE was the most dysfunctional of the departments of government. Given how dysfunctional DOD is, that is saying a lot! Moreover, I have plenty of sources of information which suggest that engineers at INEEL cut corners and leave serious radiation risks exposed. Go read about the green run(s) at Hanford. Anyway, this is far off-topic for this blog, so perhaps it is best to bring the discussion of this topic to a close. lucia — I was thinking of INEEL, in Idaho. Rocky Flats is too many states away and too far south for me to worry about.

INEEL tests reactor designs, using DOE money. These are supposedly for commericial reactors.

I personally do not object to a newer design. If nuclear reactors must be used, I would think one of the so-called passively safe designs would be better. (Same problem of fuel shortage, however). My point was that the two or three new constrction nuclear power plants to come before the nucular regulatory commission in the next several months are not innovative designs.

Hanford, for many years, ran an electric power generating reactor onsite. I’m unsure of the current situation.

It is not just the former secretaries. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, in an article a few years ago, stated that DOE was the most dysfunctional of the departments of government. Given how dysfunctional DOD is, that is saying a lot! Moreover, I have plenty of sources of information which suggest that engineers at INEEL cut corners and leave serious radiation risks exposed.

Go read about the green run(s) at Hanford.

Anyway, this is far off-topic for this blog, so perhaps it is best to bring the discussion of this topic to a close.

]]>
By: lucia http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9526 lucia Fri, 22 Feb 2008 21:16:16 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9526 David, Why would you assume no one is interested in new untried technologies to reduce CO2 levels? That's a peculiarly odd assumption, particular in a commented posted by connecting electronicly to a blog on the internet! Americans are adopting new untried technologies everyday. Also, the technologiy Roger is discussing in this blog post is a new untried technology -- as are many technologies to develpe renewable fuels. I'm all for new technologies to improve energy efficiency, create energy more efficiently of without generating CO2, sequester carbon, reduce pollution, improve the food supply, make better medicines and all around improve our way of life. If our forbears had refused new technologies we'd still be shivering, naked in caves! For what it's worth, the DOE and Hanford have nothing to do with commercial nuclear applications. So, I'm not sure what you think the DOE has to do with commercial energy production. So, I really don't quite see what argument you are trying to make by connecting issues associated with weapons productions, or Jimmy Carter's mistakes in dealing with waste to this particular technology.. It appears your main objection to this technology is you don't like nukes. You haven't been very clear about your basis for not liking them, other than that you live between Hanford and Rockc flats and have some issues about various former secretaries of energy. I guess it's fine for you to have angst, but I don't see how your angst should preclude our going forward with technologies that help reduce CO2, and thus help prevent warming. David,
Why would you assume no one is interested in new untried technologies to reduce CO2 levels? That’s a peculiarly odd assumption, particular in a commented posted by connecting electronicly to a blog on the internet!

Americans are adopting new untried technologies everyday. Also, the technologiy Roger is discussing in this blog post is a new untried technology — as are many technologies to develpe renewable fuels.

I’m all for new technologies to improve energy efficiency, create energy more efficiently of without generating CO2, sequester carbon, reduce pollution, improve the food supply, make better medicines and all around improve our way of life. If our forbears had refused new technologies we’d still be shivering, naked in caves!

For what it’s worth, the DOE and Hanford have nothing to do with commercial nuclear applications. So, I’m not sure what you think the DOE has to do with commercial energy production. So, I really don’t quite see what argument you are trying to make by connecting issues associated with weapons productions, or Jimmy Carter’s mistakes in dealing with waste to this particular technology..

It appears your main objection to this technology is you don’t like nukes. You haven’t been very clear about your basis for not liking them, other than that you live between Hanford and Rockc flats and have some issues about various former secretaries of energy.

I guess it’s fine for you to have angst, but I don’t see how your angst should preclude our going forward with technologies that help reduce CO2, and thus help prevent warming.

]]>
By: David B. Benson http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9525 David B. Benson Fri, 22 Feb 2008 16:45:32 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9525 lucia --- I agree it is a change. There is not enough uranium, at current prices, using existing nuclear reactor technology. Unfortunately I previously left off the final phrase. I suppose I was assuming that nobody (at least in the U.S.), is interested in new, untried technologies. This was based in part on the fact that the new nuclear reactors in the planning stage are not even 'passively safe' designs, but just basically more old technology. Fundamentally, the decisions rest with the U.S. Congress. IMO, they haven't done well regarding energy policy for several decades now. However, I certainly know of many matters which were directly under the administrative control of the Secretary of Energy. There have been many mistakes, risking the lives of many people. Possibly even yours. For such misadministration I have helped take a sequence of secretaries to court. Almost always win. Or so I like to think... lucia — I agree it is a change.

There is not enough uranium, at current prices, using existing nuclear reactor technology.

Unfortunately I previously left off the final phrase. I suppose I was assuming that nobody (at least in the U.S.), is interested in new, untried technologies. This was based in part on the fact that the new nuclear reactors in the planning stage are not even ‘passively safe’ designs, but just basically more old technology.

Fundamentally, the decisions rest with the U.S. Congress. IMO, they haven’t done well regarding energy policy for several decades now. However, I certainly know of many matters which were directly under the administrative control of the Secretary of Energy. There have been many mistakes, risking the lives of many people. Possibly even yours. For such misadministration I have helped take a sequence of secretaries to court. Almost always win. Or so I like to think…

]]>
By: lucia http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9524 lucia Fri, 22 Feb 2008 16:22:30 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9524 David: First, I want to note that this is an enitirely different argument from "there is not enough uranium." It's fine to change, but I do want to capture that this switch occurred. Second, I used to live in Richland, and worked at PNNL. I once walked over waste in one of the K-basins, and have an "atta-boys" plaque for work on 101-SY (AKA the first major-ly hydrogen burping tank.) The problems with clean up are entirely political, and could be solved if *congress* wished to do so and sustained funding for clean up instead of ramping up the cutting funding in fits and bursts. I think these political problems could be solved if there was sufficient political will. There has not been. FWIS, the problem of rampant waste accumulation at K-basin arose because of entirely political decision by Jimmy Carter, which was absolutely totally out of control of the DOE, Hanford engineers or others. David:
First, I want to note that this is an enitirely different argument from “there is not enough uranium.” It’s fine to change, but I do want to capture that this switch occurred.

Second, I used to live in Richland, and worked at PNNL. I once walked over waste in one of the K-basins, and have an “atta-boys” plaque for work on 101-SY (AKA the first major-ly hydrogen burping tank.)

The problems with clean up are entirely political, and could be solved if *congress* wished to do so and sustained funding for clean up instead of ramping up the cutting funding in fits and bursts.

I think these political problems could be solved if there was sufficient political will. There has not been.

FWIS, the problem of rampant waste accumulation at K-basin arose because of entirely political decision by Jimmy Carter, which was absolutely totally out of control of the DOE, Hanford engineers or others.

]]>
By: David B. Benson http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9523 David B. Benson Fri, 22 Feb 2008 15:53:29 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9523 lucia said "... I don't see protecting the interest of big oil as being as important as lowering the rate we increase CO2 emissions." That is putting matters rather mildly. I agree, only I would have used much stronger words. Regarding various potential nuclear power options, I live in between two of the most polluted DOE reactor sites, to the east in Idaho and to the west in Hanford. Based on a 37 year record of trying to force DOE to do the right thing, I fear I cannot view nuclear power generation, especially 'fast reactor technology', with anything but trepidation. Maybe the British, French and Germans know how to do all this safely. It is certain that neither the Canadians nor the Russians nor the Americans do. lucia said “… I don’t see protecting the interest of big oil as being as important as lowering the rate we increase CO2 emissions.” That is putting matters rather mildly. I agree, only I would have used much stronger words.

Regarding various potential nuclear power options, I live in between two of the most polluted DOE reactor sites, to the east in Idaho and to the west in Hanford. Based on a 37 year record of trying to force DOE to do the right thing, I fear I cannot view nuclear power generation, especially ‘fast reactor technology’, with anything but trepidation.

Maybe the British, French and Germans know how to do all this safely. It is certain that neither the Canadians nor the Russians nor the Americans do.

]]>
By: lucia http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9522 lucia Fri, 22 Feb 2008 15:06:12 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9522 David Benson, If you click the link and read the source supporting the 85 year limit, you will find that reference says this: "Fast reactor technology would lengthen this period to over 2500 years." The Wikipedia authors left this bit out. This is a considerably longer time periods. The uranium limit is not fundamental. The decision not to use fast reactor technology is entirely political, and could be changed. Given the urgency of lowering CO2 emissions, while not causing needless economic damage to poor countries (like El Salvador, where I was born) it might be wise to switch. Of course, I suspect big oil, refineries or oil rich nations, might oppose the switch to nuclear, since it would cut into their profits, but I don't see protecting the interest of big oil as being as important as lowering the rate we increase CO2 emissions. David Benson,
If you click the link and read the source supporting the 85 year limit, you will find that reference says this:

“Fast reactor technology would lengthen this period to over 2500 years.”

The Wikipedia authors left this bit out.

This is a considerably longer time periods. The uranium limit is not fundamental.

The decision not to use fast reactor technology is entirely political, and could be changed.

Given the urgency of lowering CO2 emissions, while not causing needless economic damage to poor countries (like El Salvador, where I was born) it might be wise to switch.

Of course, I suspect big oil, refineries or oil rich nations, might oppose the switch to nuclear, since it would cut into their profits, but I don’t see protecting the interest of big oil as being as important as lowering the rate we increase CO2 emissions.

]]>
By: David B. Benson http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=4338&cpage=1#comment-9521 David B. Benson Fri, 22 Feb 2008 12:32:09 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheusreborn/?p=4338#comment-9521 lucia --- Assume there are 200 operating nuclear power plants in the world today. The claim was that, at current prices there is enough uranium for 85 years. Building 500 more, just for the U.S., results in 700 operating nuclear poser plants. Then the uranium ores are only good for 24 years. That is not long enough to payback the investment. That was what I was refering to. Of course, assuming an ability to pay more, I gather there are more uranium reserves. But I'll not attempt an ROI for such scenerios. Over to you. lucia — Assume there are 200 operating nuclear power plants in the world today. The claim was that, at current prices there is enough uranium for 85 years. Building 500 more, just for the U.S., results in 700 operating nuclear poser plants. Then the uranium ores are only good for 24 years. That is not long enough to payback the investment.

That was what I was refering to. Of course, assuming an ability to pay more, I gather there are more uranium reserves. But I’ll not attempt an ROI for such scenerios. Over to you.

]]>