Comments on: The Core Tension of Cap and Trade http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 22:36:51 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: FredG http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-13003 FredG Tue, 17 Mar 2009 05:23:09 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-13003 I see most of you are chasing after the red herring. Don't be fooled! The goal of the current administration has nothing to do with climate change. It is simply a way to redistribute wealth, a socialist panacea. The president does not try to hide his intentions. He articulates them quite clearly and I'm amazed to see people hear the speeches but fail to listen to the words. I guess a similar phenomena happened back in Germany in the 1930's... I could quote the president, but i won't. We've all heard the rhetoric which is readily available. The goal is to "fundamentally transform the economy", etc. Wake up people! The idiot majority has elected a socialist. I see most of you are chasing after the red herring. Don’t be fooled!

The goal of the current administration has nothing to do with climate change. It is simply a way to redistribute wealth, a socialist panacea.

The president does not try to hide his intentions. He articulates them quite clearly and I’m amazed to see people hear the speeches but fail to listen to the words. I guess a similar phenomena happened back in Germany in the 1930’s…

I could quote the president, but i won’t. We’ve all heard the rhetoric which is readily available. The goal is to “fundamentally transform the economy”, etc.

Wake up people! The idiot majority has elected a socialist.

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By: MJ http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12988 MJ Mon, 16 Mar 2009 15:42:11 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12988 Jae, completely agree that both sides should ALWAYS be included. I think unfortunately even arenas like ‘scientific conferences’ have become biased towards one side or another. Some of this is driven by the reality that what may start as a ‘scientific’ debate gets pulled into the media, hyped up, folks take sides, egos and personalities get involved and ... But your comments highlight what I think is part of challenge. From the peer reviewed research I have read, I see that CO2 (amongst other things) is contributing to the current changing climate. You see the reverse and we are just two individuals. Another part of the problem is the both the interdisciplinary and global nature of this type of issue, makes working towards an agreement even that much more complex. My bigger concern is that the problem will get to a point where the economics are even more painful than trying to address the issue now. However, I agree (as mentioned in my first comment) that everything should be based as much as possible in the framework of our capitalist economy. Jae, completely agree that both sides should ALWAYS be included. I think unfortunately even arenas like ‘scientific conferences’ have become biased towards one side or another. Some of this is driven by the reality that what may start as a ‘scientific’ debate gets pulled into the media, hyped up, folks take sides, egos and personalities get involved and …

But your comments highlight what I think is part of challenge. From the peer reviewed research I have read, I see that CO2 (amongst other things) is contributing to the current changing climate. You see the reverse and we are just two individuals. Another part of the problem is the both the interdisciplinary and global nature of this type of issue, makes working towards an agreement even that much more complex. My bigger concern is that the problem will get to a point where the economics are even more painful than trying to address the issue now. However, I agree (as mentioned in my first comment) that everything should be based as much as possible in the framework of our capitalist economy.

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By: jae http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12985 jae Mon, 16 Mar 2009 12:53:01 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12985 "Do you think carbon emissions are an issue? If not I would suggest your focus needs not to be on saying a particular solution won’t work, but on saying ‘we don’t need to address the issue and here is why…’. On the other hand, if you believe it is an issue, why not focus on ‘that solution won’t work, here is why, but this would…’?" From your comments, it looks like I was not "calling you a name," since you don't fit into either of the two categories I listed :) Personally, I don't think there is even one tiny shred of true scientific evidence that carbon emissions are a problem, only irrational fear. But there is all sorts of evidence that CO2 provides POSITIVE benefits. However, let's assume there will be some problems. We should "do something" only if the costs of doing so are less than the costs of mitigation AND if "doing something" has a decent chance of making a difference. The "precautionary principle" is not enough, because it is illogical, anyway in this case. If the politicians can show clearly that their proposals will address these issues, then we should "do something." But I have not seen them even TRY to address EITHER of the issues. THey have their collective heads stuck deeply in the sand of lies and politics. If BO is serious about getting the science out there, now is the time. And it should be done by including the "skeptics" this time. “Do you think carbon emissions are an issue? If not I would suggest your focus needs not to be on saying a particular solution won’t work, but on saying ‘we don’t need to address the issue and here is why…’. On the other hand, if you believe it is an issue, why not focus on ‘that solution won’t work, here is why, but this would…’?”

From your comments, it looks like I was not “calling you a name,” since you don’t fit into either of the two categories I listed :)

Personally, I don’t think there is even one tiny shred of true scientific evidence that carbon emissions are a problem, only irrational fear. But there is all sorts of evidence that CO2 provides POSITIVE benefits. However, let’s assume there will be some problems. We should “do something” only if the costs of doing so are less than the costs of mitigation AND if “doing something” has a decent chance of making a difference. The “precautionary principle” is not enough, because it is illogical, anyway in this case. If the politicians can show clearly that their proposals will address these issues, then we should “do something.” But I have not seen them even TRY to address EITHER of the issues. THey have their collective heads stuck deeply in the sand of lies and politics. If BO is serious about getting the science out there, now is the time. And it should be done by including the “skeptics” this time.

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By: MJ http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12983 MJ Mon, 16 Mar 2009 11:42:01 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12983 re#10 I have done no math because I have made no proposal. I have only suggested aspects to a plan. What if I said for instance that the cap was based on present day levels plus 10%? My belief is not acting will in the end become even more costly. I also disagree with BO that nuclear should be off the table. But I will say that I completely disagree with you that ‘just doing something’ is doomed to failure. It is likely that the first version of anything will have serious problems that need to be addressed, but doing nothing to me is the wrong answer. I think Kyoto is a completely flawed solution, but I also believe it was a flawed solution we can learn from. I know very few examples of anything in life or this world where we got it right the first time. re#11 I don’t believe I ever said the US should act alone, but I also don’t believe some feel good measure that is signed by every UN nation is needed either. If the top 8 emitters (60% of emission based on data from http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/meth_reg.html) would work together or the top 15 (70%), you have a better chance of getting somewhere. And no, I don’t think this is a simple problem, but I do think it is a problem. re#10 and 11 Not sure why both of you want to label me with names, but I guess that is your prerogative. I get back to my basic question for both of you now; Do you think carbon emissions are an issue? If not I would suggest your focus needs not to be on saying a particular solution won’t work, but on saying ‘we don’t need to address the issue and here is why…’. On the other hand, if you believe it is an issue, why not focus on ‘that solution won’t work, here is why, but this would…’? re#10

I have done no math because I have made no proposal. I have only suggested aspects to a plan. What if I said for instance that the cap was based on present day levels plus 10%? My belief is not acting will in the end become even more costly. I also disagree with BO that nuclear should be off the table.

But I will say that I completely disagree with you that ‘just doing something’ is doomed to failure. It is likely that the first version of anything will have serious problems that need to be addressed, but doing nothing to me is the wrong answer. I think Kyoto is a completely flawed solution, but I also believe it was a flawed solution we can learn from. I know very few examples of anything in life or this world where we got it right the first time.

re#11

I don’t believe I ever said the US should act alone, but I also don’t believe some feel good measure that is signed by every UN nation is needed either. If the top 8 emitters (60% of emission based on data from http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/meth_reg.html) would work together or the top 15 (70%), you have a better chance of getting somewhere. And no, I don’t think this is a simple problem, but I do think it is a problem.

re#10 and 11

Not sure why both of you want to label me with names, but I guess that is your prerogative. I get back to my basic question for both of you now; Do you think carbon emissions are an issue? If not I would suggest your focus needs not to be on saying a particular solution won’t work, but on saying ‘we don’t need to address the issue and here is why…’. On the other hand, if you believe it is an issue, why not focus on ‘that solution won’t work, here is why, but this would…’?

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By: The Core Tension of Cap and Trade – NearWalden http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12979 The Core Tension of Cap and Trade – NearWalden Mon, 16 Mar 2009 06:13:48 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12979 [...] The Core Tension of Cap and Trade from Roger Pielke, Jr. on Prometheus blog: [...] [...] The Core Tension of Cap and Trade from Roger Pielke, Jr. on Prometheus blog: [...]

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By: jae http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12969 jae Mon, 16 Mar 2009 00:40:32 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12969 Oh, and I forgot to add that such taxes would not even decrease CO2, they would just change the emission points to China, India, etc. People that are supporting this nonsense must be (1) a fool; (2) a "new-world-order type of socialist; or (3) both. Oh, and I forgot to add that such taxes would not even decrease CO2, they would just change the emission points to China, India, etc. People that are supporting this nonsense must be (1) a fool; (2) a “new-world-order type of socialist; or (3) both.

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By: jae http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12968 jae Mon, 16 Mar 2009 00:37:45 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12968 MJ: "And no, none of these systems is economically easy to start, nor was reducing CFCs or stopping the dumping of raw sewage into rivers or replacing asbestos in many products, etc." It is exactly this type of illogical thinking that concerns me. SURELY, you don't think these issues are comparable, in any way, to the CO2 issue! If there is ANY sort of agreement in the US to raise the cost of carbon (tax, Cap/Trade, etc.) without comparable verifiable actions by China and India, then I will be ABSOLUTELY POSITIVE that Obama and friends' motivation has nothing to do with the environment or "climate change" (I'am already pretty certain, anyway). Such carbon taxes will completely unravel our economic system and chase out the last bit of industry that we have. It is very frightening, indeed, because the precident set by the foolish European Community, who are now trying to pull us into the pit with them. MJ:

“And no, none of these systems is economically easy to start, nor was reducing CFCs or stopping the dumping of raw sewage into rivers or replacing asbestos in many products, etc.”

It is exactly this type of illogical thinking that concerns me. SURELY, you don’t think these issues are comparable, in any way, to the CO2 issue!

If there is ANY sort of agreement in the US to raise the cost of carbon (tax, Cap/Trade, etc.) without comparable verifiable actions by China and India, then I will be ABSOLUTELY POSITIVE that Obama and friends’ motivation has nothing to do with the environment or “climate change” (I’am already pretty certain, anyway). Such carbon taxes will completely unravel our economic system and chase out the last bit of industry that we have. It is very frightening, indeed, because the precident set by the foolish European Community, who are now trying to pull us into the pit with them.

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By: EDaniel http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12967 EDaniel Mon, 16 Mar 2009 00:07:47 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12967 re#9 YANS + PM: Yet Another Naked Strawman plus Presumptive Motive. Have you done any arithmetic, the very simple kind we all learned in grade school, to quantify the costs and benefits of your proposed 'solutions'? Have you, for example, estimated the costs that will be passed on to the consumers? What will be the impact on those who live from paycheck to paycheck spending the majority of their income on carbon? But more importantly, have you estimated the real-world time line and associated changes in CO2 emissions that would result from your proposals? It continues to amaze me, that as far as I know, not a single validated quantification of even a single approach has been presented by anyone. Just do something is not a solution, it's a very big problem. The reality is that nuclear has been taken off the table. President Obama, it seems to me, focuses on solar and wind, promising millions of Green jobs. Again without quantification of anything associated with the approach. Those who do the arithmetic know beyond any doubts whatsoever that this is a dead end and doomed to failure. Just do something is doomed to failure; 100% doomed. We can't debate hand-arm-waving 'solutions'. re#9

YANS + PM: Yet Another Naked Strawman plus Presumptive Motive.

Have you done any arithmetic, the very simple kind we all learned in grade school, to quantify the costs and benefits of your proposed ’solutions’? Have you, for example, estimated the costs that will be passed on to the consumers? What will be the impact on those who live from paycheck to paycheck spending the majority of their income on carbon?

But more importantly, have you estimated the real-world time line and associated changes in CO2 emissions that would result from your proposals?

It continues to amaze me, that as far as I know, not a single validated quantification of even a single approach has been presented by anyone. Just do something is not a solution, it’s a very big problem.

The reality is that nuclear has been taken off the table. President Obama, it seems to me, focuses on solar and wind, promising millions of Green jobs. Again without quantification of anything associated with the approach. Those who do the arithmetic know beyond any doubts whatsoever that this is a dead end and doomed to failure.

Just do something is doomed to failure; 100% doomed.

We can’t debate hand-arm-waving ’solutions’.

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By: MJ http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12964 MJ Sun, 15 Mar 2009 23:04:36 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12964 re#8 The issue at hand is not the production of carbon, but potentially dangerous levels of carbon. I would suggest that the fact that most folks buy almost all the food they consume means that economics are applied to very basic necessities. Healthcare would be another example where people pay for a life necessity. Both contain costs that are passed on to the consumer with the idea that they allow for a safer product for the consumer. While I agree that shut downs are an extreme solution, my point applied to user as much as producers, which cap and trade should take into account. So yes I am serious and I actually think in the short term (next 50 years) that nuclear should be considered. My guess is you do not feel that the current levels of carbon emission are a problem; if that is the case it does not matter what is proposed, it is likely you will feel it is unnecessary. So debating solutions to a problem that you feel does not exist would be moot in any case. re#8

The issue at hand is not the production of carbon, but potentially dangerous levels of carbon. I would suggest that the fact that most folks buy almost all the food they consume means that economics are applied to very basic necessities. Healthcare would be another example where people pay for a life necessity. Both contain costs that are passed on to the consumer with the idea that they allow for a safer product for the consumer.

While I agree that shut downs are an extreme solution, my point applied to user as much as producers, which cap and trade should take into account. So yes I am serious and I actually think in the short term (next 50 years) that nuclear should be considered.

My guess is you do not feel that the current levels of carbon emission are a problem; if that is the case it does not matter what is proposed, it is likely you will feel it is unnecessary. So debating solutions to a problem that you feel does not exist would be moot in any case.

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By: EDaniel http://cstpr.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059&cpage=1#comment-12963 EDaniel Sun, 15 Mar 2009 21:39:55 +0000 http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/?p=5059#comment-12963 #4 Mj said: "This can be done purely economically by having an increasing scale of cost with higher emission levels; the cost of consumption will outweigh the benefit at some equilibrium." As far as I know, this concept has never been applied to anything as necessary for health and safety for life as carbon. Especially for those for whom there are no free-choice options available. Many people can barely cover the already existing costs for their food and energy. and "It can also be augmented through other regulatory aspects such as fines or the ability to stop operations of violators." Yes, by all means let's shut down a few base-load electricity generating facilities. And while we're at it, let's shut down all the operating nuclear-fueled plants; the nuclear option has in reality been taken off the table anyway. Surely, MJ, you can't be serious on this approach? #4 Mj said:

“This can be done purely economically by having an increasing scale of cost with higher emission levels; the cost of consumption will outweigh the benefit at some equilibrium.”

As far as I know, this concept has never been applied to anything as necessary for health and safety for life as carbon. Especially for those for whom there are no free-choice options available. Many people can barely cover the already existing costs for their food and energy.

and

“It can also be augmented through other regulatory aspects such as fines or the ability to stop operations of violators.”

Yes, by all means let’s shut down a few base-load electricity generating facilities. And while we’re at it, let’s shut down all the operating nuclear-fueled plants; the nuclear option has in reality been taken off the table anyway.

Surely, MJ, you can’t be serious on this approach?

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