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| PUBLICATIONID : | 53354 | | PUBLICATIONTYPE : | 1 | | TYPE : | Article | | TITLE : | Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls | | ORIG_TITLE : | Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls | | AUTHOR : | Weinkle, J, R Maue and R Pielke | | FIRST_AUTHOR : | Weinkle, J, R Maue and R Pielke | | AUTHOR_COUNT : | 1 | | ADDRESS : | [Weinkle, Jessica; Pielke, Roger, Jr.] Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; [Maue, Ryan] USN, Res Lab, Natl Res Council, Monterey, CA USA | | PUBLISHER : | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC | | FIRSTAUTHOREMPLOYER : | 1 | | ABBREV_JOURNAL : | J. Clim. | | BEGINPAGE : | 4729 | | ENDPAGE : | 4735 | | VOLUME : | 25 | | ISSUE : | 13 | | PUBLISH_DATE : | 1-Jul | | YEAR : | 2012 | | URL : | http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/publications/special/historical_tropical_cyclone_landfalls.html | | REFEREED : | 1 | | RESOURCE : | WOS:000306043800019 | | CITATION : | 1 | | DEPT : | CSTPR | | LAST_UPDATED : | 2013-02-07 16:12:53 | | ISSN : | 0894-8755 | | IDS : | 969GN | | DOI : | 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00719.1 | | ABSTRACT : | In recent decades, economic damage from tropical cyclones (TCs) around the world has increased dramatically. Scientific literature published to date finds that the increase in losses can be explained entirely by societal changes (such as increasing wealth, structures, population, etc.) in locations prone to tropical cyclone landfalls, rather than by changes in annual storm frequency or intensity. However, no homogenized dataset of global tropical cyclone landfalls has been created that might serve as a consistency check for such economic normalization studies. Using currently available historical TC best-track records, a global database focused on hurricane-force strength landfalls was constructed. The analysis does not indicate significant long-period global or individual basin trends in the frequency or intensity of landfalling TCs of minor or major hurricane strength. The evidence in this study provides strong support for the conclusion that increasing damage around the world during the past several decades can be explained entirely by increasing wealth in locations prone to TC landfalls, which adds confidence to the fidelity of economic normalization analyses. | | KEYWORD_PLUS : | CLIMATE-CHANGE; METEOROLOGY; LOSSES; TRENDS | | AREA : | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences | | FIRST_AUTHOR_EMAIL : | jessica.weinkle@colorado.edu | | PUBLICATION : | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE | | PLACE : | BOSTON | | LANGUAGE : | English | | SERIAL : | 53354 | | PAGES : | 4729-4735 | | APPROVED : | yes | | ONLINE_PUBLICATION : | no | | VERSION : | 1 | | FIRST_AUTHOR_ADDRESS : | Weinkle, J (reprint author), Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy Res, 1333 Grandview Ave,Campus Box 488, Boulder, CO 80309 USA | | AUTHOR_OTHER_FORM : | Weinkle, Jessica; Maue, Ryan; Pielke, Roger, Jr. | | FUNDING : | U.S. National Science Foundation DMUU Grant[SES 0345604] | | FUNDING_ACKNOWLEDGEMENT : | The authors thank Chris Landsea, Ryan Crompton, Buck Sampson, and Edward Fukada. We thank Ami Nacu-Schmidt and Evan Pugh for helping to prepare the paper for publication. This work was supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation DMUU Grant SES 0345604. Dr. Maue acknowledges the National Research Council Research Associateship Program while at the Naval Research Laboratory in Monterey, California. | | REFERENCES_NUM : | 38 | | REFERENCE : | Barthel F, 2012, CLIMATIC CHANGE, V113, P215, DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0331-2; Bouwer LM, 2011, B AM METEOROL SOC, V92, P39, DOI 10.1175/2010BAMS3092.1; Callaghan J, 2011, CLIM DYNAM, V37, P647, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0883-2; Chan JCL, 2008, P ROY SOC A-MATH PHY, V464, P249, DOI 10.1098/rspa.2007.0183; Chu J.-H., 2002, NRLMR75400216; Crompton RP, 2011, ENVIRON RES LETT, V6, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/6/1/014003; Crompton RP, 2008, ENVIRON SCI POLICY, V11, P371, DOI 10.1016/j.envsci.2008.01.005; DVORAK V. 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