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Improving Environmental Communication and Adaptation Decision-making in the Humanitarian Sector

ENVS 5909-902/CSTP 5909
University of Colorado
Spring Semester 2017

Course Themes and Readings
Week 4

Forecasts, Science, & Decision-making - Early March Date TBD

The IRI provides climate information resources for the IFRC at the global and regional scales. These are mostly seasonal forecasts, but also include other data and information. Browse through just to be familiar with what they look like, what information is available, etc.

Web Resources

IRI Website

IRI’s Net Assessment Forecasts

The Federation Map Room

Readings

Braman, L., Aalst, M., Mason, S., Suarez, P., Ait-Chellouche, Y., & Tall, A. (2013). Climate forecasts in disaster management: Red Cross flood operations in West Africa, 2008. Disasters, 37(1), 144–164.

Brasseur, G. P. and Gallardo, L. (2016), Climate services: Lessons learned and future prospects. Earth's Future, 4: 79–89. doi:10.1002/2015EF000338

Tall, A., Mason, S. J., van Aalst, M. K., Suarez, P., Ait-Chellouche, Y., Diallo, A. A., & Braman, L. (2012). Using Seasonal Climate Forecasts to Guide Disaster Management: The Red Cross Experience during the 2008 West Africa Floods. International Journal of Geophysics, 2012(2), 1–12.

Dilling, L. and M. Lemos (2011). Creating Usable Science: Opportunities and Constraints for Climate Knowledge Use and Their Implications for Science Policy. Global Environmental Change. 21(2011):  680-689.

Morss, R.E., O.V. Wilhelmi, M.W. Downton, and E. Gruntfest (2005). Flood Risk, Uncertainty, and Scientific Information for Decision Making: Lessons from an Interdisciplinary Project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86: 1593–1601.

Pulwarty, R. and M. Sivakumar (2014). Information systems in a changing climate: early warning and drought risk management. Weather and Climate Extremes. 3: 14-21.

Lemos, M., & Rood, R. (2010). Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1(5), 670–682.

De Perez, E., van den Hurk, B., van Aalst, M., Amuron, I., Bamanya, D., Hauser, T., … Zsoter, E. (2016). Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 1–22. doi:10.5194/hess-2016-163

Optional:

Suarez, P. and A. Tall (2010). Toward Forecast Based Humanitarian Decisions: Climate Science to Get from Early Warning to Early Action. From the proceedings of Humanitarian Futures Program Meeting, King’s College London, 30 March 2010.

Braman, L., Suarez, P., and Aalst, M. (2010). Climate change adaptation: integrating climate science into humanitarian work. International Review of the Red Cross, 92(879), 693–712. cambridge.