Jessica Weinkle
Jessica gave a talk titled “Model Me This: What is Florida’s hurricane risk?” on December 17, 2012, at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, FL.
Abstract: When The Riddler first appeared as a Batman villain, he was a simple fellow; so too, were his riddles. Over time, The Riddler and his game evolved, mirroring the techno-socio-political context in which Batman- and his real life fans- understand and make decisions about risk. Despite conventional wisdom about risk and insurance ratemaking, Florida’s hurricane risk is not an objective fact that exists “out there.” Today, the hurricane risk is highly dependent on the context in which it is assessed and requires societal identification, interpretation, and decision-making. Thus, perceptions of the hurricane risk have changed along with changes in science, policy, and social values. Evaluation of the social context in which decisions about risk are made brings forth questions about the role of experts in decision making about society’s risk and the use of public insurance regimes to control ‘exaggerated uncertainties’ and define acceptable hurricane risk. |