Recently we discussed actions of the director of the IPCC and political advocacy, “If the IPCC’s role is indeed to act as an honest broker, then it would seem to make sense that its leadership ought not blur that role by endorsing, tacitly or otherwise, the agendas of particular groups. There are plenty of appropriate places for political advocacy on climate change, but the IPCC does not seem to me to be among those places.”
Well a recent story from the Environmental News Network suggests that R. K. Pachauri, Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has continued to engage in political advocacy. Here is an except from the story:
“Although saved recently with Russian help, the Kyoto pact on global warming offers too little to arrest climate change and governments should adopt more radical solutions, the top U.N. climate expert said. “My feeling is that we will probably need to do more than most people are talking about” to combat climate change, said Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). He welcomed ratification of the Kyoto pact by Russia’s lower house of parliament, paving the way for the long-delayed 1997 accord to enter into force in the 126 nations that approved it, even though the world’s greatest polluter, the United States, pulled out in 2001. “This mustn’t lull us into thinking that the problem is solved,” Pachauri said. “Kyoto is not enough. We now have to look at the problem afresh.” Kyoto is a first step towards curbing emissions of gases like carbon dioxide, mainly from burning fossil fuels, that scientists blame for trapping heat in the atmosphere like the panes of glass in a greenhouse. Rising concentrations could melt icecaps, swamp low-lying coastal regions, and trigger catastrophic changes to the planet’s climate with more volatile weather from typhoons to droughts. Pachauri urged the world to shift strategy from Kyoto’s reduction targets for greenhouse gases to long-term global targets on how much of the gases the atmosphere should contain.”
Perhaps most troubling is that Dr. Pachauri explicitly linked his work under the IPCC to efforts in support of political advocacy:
“Pachauri leads work to produce a 2007 U.N. climate report based on research by more than 2,000 scientists, updating a 2001 assessment that concluded there was “new and stronger evidence” that human activities were to blame for rising temperatures. “My hope is that this (2007 report) will be able to fill gaps, reduce uncertainties, and produce a much stronger message,” said Pachauri, who is based in New Delhi.”
These statements echo similar comments made by Dr. Pachauri in 2002 following his appointment as IPCC Director:
“There was a need for a dialogue on what commitments nations should make in a second wave after Kyoto, he said. “I think that the science must provide a compelling reason and a logic to take those steps, and this is what I hope the IPCC will be able to do in the future,” he added.”
If the IPCC exists solely to motivate action on a particular policy alternative, then it risks becoming an instrument of marketing for decisions already made. This is a long way from where the IPCC was in 1990 when its Working Group III operated under a mandate to empower decision makers by “lay[ing] out as fully and fairly as possible a set of response policy options to global climate change and the factual basis for those options.” It is not at all clear what options on mitigation and adaptation are available for dealing with climate change in the post-Kyoto period, much less their relative costs and benefits, and if the IPCC determines what option should be advocated prior to an open and informed discussion, then it risks morphing into just another interest group selling a preferred solution on climate change, and in the process frittering away its science-based authority and legitimacy.
Folks in the IPCC ought to think carefully about continuing down the path of abandoning their role as honest broker.