Where Have All the Hurricanes Gone?
November 5th, 2008Posted by: Roger Pielke, Jr.
Ryan Maue of Florida State University documents that Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity is the lowest that has been observed in the past 30 years. Before you get all excited and jump to conclusions, I am happy to report that the latest research shows that more, less, or the same level of tropical cyclone activity is perfectly consistent with predictions of climate models. So the record inactivity should definitely be seen as vindicating the prediction of climate models as well as a potential harbinger of things to come, or perhaps the calm before the storm, or something.
November 5th, 2008 at 1:48 pm
[...] Source [...]
November 5th, 2008 at 2:48 pm
You need to get the word “robust” in there. Example of use:
“I am happy to report that the latest research shows that more, less, or the same level of tropical cyclone activity is perfectly consistent with predictions of climate models. …. This is true because the climate models do not provide robust predictions of trends in tropical cyclone activity.”
November 5th, 2008 at 4:44 pm
In Engineering, Consistent With would mean that the physical phenomena and processes that lead to the values in the graph are robustly predicted (as in before the data are recorded), resulting in the summary Figure of Merit shown there within the experimental error of the data.
November 6th, 2008 at 2:47 am
I thought hurricanes came out of chimney stacks, and we needed a new ‘category 6′ after 2005?